期刊簡(jiǎn)介預(yù)計(jì)審稿時(shí)間： 12 Weeks

The background and content of "Prediction of Economic and Social Change Trends" involve multiple aspects, including changes in the global economic landscape, prospects for the Chinese economy, and analysis and prediction of social situations. Firstly, from the perspective of the global economic landscape, 2021-2035 is a period of profound adjustment in the global political and economic landscape. During this period, globalization was an irreversible trend that had a profound impact on the development of the world economy. The global economic growth rate is showing a downward trend, and the growth rate of developed economies may further slow down, while the growth rate of developing countries has declined. At the same time, China has become the main stabilizing force for long-term global economic growth, and it is expected that China's economic status will become even more important in the future, with its economic scale surpassing that of the United States, and China and the United States will become the world's two superpowers.

Secondly, from the perspective of the outlook for the Chinese economy, 2024 is the year when the Chinese economy continues to recover, with the main tone being "comprehensive recovery". China will continue to implement an active fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy, and the deficit size will continue to expand. The deficit ratio will return to above 3% to achieve the goals of stabilizing expectations, growth, and employment. In addition, promoting the rapid growth and development of new quality productive forces, as well as building a modern industrial system, are also key trends in China's economic development.

《經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)變化事實(shí)趨勢(shì)預(yù)測(cè)》的背景和內(nèi)容涉及多個(gè)方面，包括全球經(jīng)濟(jì)格局的變化、中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的展望，以及社會(huì)形勢(shì)的分析與預(yù)測(cè)。首先，從全球經(jīng)濟(jì)格局的角度來(lái)看，2021至2035年是一個(gè)全球政治經(jīng)濟(jì)格局深刻調(diào)整的時(shí)期。這一時(shí)期，全球化是一個(gè)不可逆轉(zhuǎn)的趨勢(shì)，對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了深遠(yuǎn)的影響。全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度呈現(xiàn)趨勢(shì)性下降，發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的增長(zhǎng)速度將可能進(jìn)一步放緩，而發(fā)展中國(guó)家的增長(zhǎng)速度有所下降。同時(shí)，中國(guó)成為全球經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期增長(zhǎng)的主要穩(wěn)定力量，預(yù)計(jì)未來(lái)中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)地位將更加重要，經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模將超過(guò)美國(guó)，中美將成為全球兩個(gè)超級(jí)大國(guó)。

其次，從中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的展望來(lái)看，2024年是中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)繼續(xù)恢復(fù)的一年，主基調(diào)是“全面復(fù)蘇”。中國(guó)將繼續(xù)執(zhí)行積極的財(cái)政政策和穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策，赤字規(guī)模會(huì)繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大，赤字率將重新回歸到3%上方，以達(dá)到穩(wěn)預(yù)期、穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)、穩(wěn)就業(yè)的目標(biāo)。此外，推動(dòng)新質(zhì)生產(chǎn)力的快速成長(zhǎng)和發(fā)展，以及建設(shè)現(xiàn)代化產(chǎn)業(yè)體系也是中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵趨勢(shì)。

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